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Today's game plan

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Levels around price

Likely plays

When (UK time)

Rules from the research

    Full notes: bull case, bear case, what to watch
    Bull case
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    Bear case
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    Wrong if
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    Watch
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    All key levels
    LevelPriceTypeNote
    How the plays are made
    Levels
    Today's key levels plus the live (unswept) liquidity channels from your indicator on 10 min, 1 hour and 4 hour. Buy-side sits above old highs and sell-side below old lows. These are where stop runs happen.
    Plays
    The nearest live sell-side level below price (long play) and buy-side level above (short play). The play is the sweep and reclaim: price runs through the level, then a 30-second candle closes back. Targets are VWAP and then the liquidity on the other side.
    No reclaim
    If price goes through and stays through, don't fade it. That is often the day's big move starting, and the next level beyond becomes the magnet.
    Evidence
    From "Finding the winning trades" below: your channels rebuilt on 1, 3 and 5-minute bars for this market and checked against shuffled prices.
    Chart
    Red zones are buy-side liquidity, green sell-side. Solid means untouched, faint means already swept. Lines: green uptrend, red downtrend, dashed just broken. EMA 20/50 show the short and medium trend. Times are UK.

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    RSI — MACD hist — ATR — EMA 20 — EMA 50 —

    Potential patterns

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    Ideas tested with no edge so far

    Finding the winning trades

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    The winner finder

      Live record (30-second data)

      Grey = sessions used to build the rules. Coloured = new sessions, the real test. Running total in R.

      Every trade
      DaySweepTradeEntryRiskExitPointsR

      Show the evidence

      When the day's best move started

      Winner traits

      Average R per fade with the trait vs without (1/3/5-min). Top three held everywhere.

      Trait at entry1-min3-min5-min

      Rules compared on this market

      Average R per trade (trades, first half / second half, shuffled copies beaten of 8). The US Tech 100 rule is tested here as it is, scaled to this market's moves.

      Rule1-min3-min5-min

      Exits compared

      Average R per trade, then first half / second half, on the finder's entries.

      Exit1-min3-min5-min

      Real vs luck

      Black = real prices. Grey = 8 shuffled copies each.

      Biggest winners

      DayEntry (UK)TradeRiskBankedPrice ran

      Running total by sample (points)

      Data from your TradingView chart (). Technical analysis only, not financial advice.